Oyo North Senatorial District is the home of former Governor Otunba Alao Akala who hails from Ogbomoso in Oyo north. Analysts have been observing that Akala’s influence still stands in Ogbomoso.
Oyo North is the home of some of the running mates of gubernatorial candidates in Oyo.
APC (Bayo Adelabu): The stronghold of APC in Oyo North is the Oke-Ogun axis which includes places like Iseyin, Itesiwaju, Kajola, Iwajowa and Saki might be a victory for the former deputy Governor. Based on 2015 statistics, incumbent Governor Abiola Ajimobi won in these areas and the influence of the governor might be for or against the “penkelemesi” man.
The running mate of the incumbent deputy governor is from Oke-Ogun. However, the incumbent senator of the district is from APC. Bayo Adelabu might win in Oyo North if influences of people like Shina Peller and Hannah Ogunesan are considered.
Sharafadeen Alli (ZLP): There is no doubt that the popularity of Baba Ladoja is what Barrister Alli and his party sells to the people of Oyo. Ladoja, former governor of Oyo State, still has a strong statewide network of supporters across the Oyo North Senatorial District. In 2015, Rasheed Ladoja had about 20% of the voters during the gubernatorial election in his defunct Accord Party. There is no doubt that people of Oyo voted for Baba Ladoja’s personality than his party during his 2011 and 2015 nightmare.
I don’t see Sharafadeen Alli as a popular name in Oke-Ogun unless people vote for Ladoja. He doesn’t have grounds to pull in Oyo North. Ladoja is the sole popular figure ZLP has to sell in Oyo north.
Olufemi Lanlehin (ADC): The running mate of Lanlehin is from Iseyin. Iseyin is a stronghold of APC. People like Shina Peller of APC has a lot of influence in that area. Another figure that might be an advantage to Laanlehin is the influence of Sunday Igboho who is from Oke-Ogun. Another opportunity for ADC are those who decamped from APC due to the crisis that befell the party in 2018 might bring results for the former lawmaker.
ADC might just pull 15% of votes in Oyo North.
Alao Akala (ADP): Out of the 13 local governments in Oyo North, Alao Akala won 4 with massive votes while 9 local governments was won by Abiola Ajimobi. This local governments will still be subdued by Akala in 2019 too. One of the places Akala might find difficulty winning is Oorelope because the running mate of PDP gubernatorial candidate Seyi Makinde is from that local government.
Alao Akala might pull 20% of the votes again like 2015 during the 2019 election.
Seyi Makinde (PDP): Seyi Makinde might enjoy the sympathy of citizens from Oyo North because he has contested many times.
Mulikat Akande Adeola, a former House Leader, is also contested for the Oyo North Senatorial District. She is one of the party leaders of PDP in the north. She has a well-laid structure in the Ogbomoso axis.
Seyi Makinde will get votes from those who got offended by the incumbent governor, Abiola Ajimobi, and might use their votes for Seyi to punish him for his misdeed.
Seyi might reduce the popularity APC enjoyed during 2015 election in Oyo North Senatorial District.
Seyi’s running mate, Rauf Olaniyan, is also fron Oyo North which could be positive for Seyi.
Seyi might have 25% votes of voters.